Eurozone and U.S. Bond Yields Rise as U.S. Government Shutdown Nears End

Government bond yields in both the euro area and the United States climbed on Monday after the U.S. Senate advanced a measure to reopen the federal government, signaling an end to the 40-day shutdown that had been weighing on the economy.

Germany’s 10-year government bond yield (DE10YT=RR) — the benchmark for the euro area — rose 2.5 basis points to 2.699%, reaching its highest level since October 9.

In the U.S., benchmark 10-year Treasury yields (US10YT=RR) increased by 4.5 basis points to 4.139%, while two-year Treasury yields (US2YT=RR) rose by 4 basis points to 3.599%.

“Against this backdrop, bond markets are feeling the pressure with risk sentiment improving and fears about the damage to the economy subsiding,” said Rainer Guntermann, a rates strategist at Commerzbank, referring to optimism following the Senate’s progress toward ending the shutdown.

Guntermann added, “10-year U.S. Treasury yields look set to move toward the upper end of their range, with a slight curve steepening bias,” implying that longer-term yields could rise faster than shorter-term ones.

Earlier, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett had warned that the U.S. economy’s fourth-quarter GDP could turn negative if the shutdown continued, underscoring the economic toll of the prolonged political deadlock.

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